"The improved New York Rangers and Buffalo Sabres should be moving up in the Eastern Conference standings, although it's difficult to project who is falling. The Washington Capitals? Penguins? Don't see it, but some do."
...adding Richards immediately makes the Rangers better, but as Allen says I don't see them in the Top 3 or 4. Maybe they'll be fighting for a 6th seed.
...what are your predictions on what spot the Rangers may finish the 2011-12 season?
...h/t to Carp over at the Rangers Report.
Without seeing the reality of our new first line, it's nearly impossible to say what will or won't be, but lets be optimistic and give it a shot simply from a scoring standpoint.
First lets assume that everyone does at least as well as they did last season, so everyone's goals and assists are all kinda the same.
Total impact: +233 Goals (same as last year)
Next, lets take away some injuries. Dubi gets 5 more in the games he missed. Callahan gets 5 more in the games he missed. Gaborik gets 5 more in the games he missed.
Total impact: +15 Goals
Next let's assume that players fulfill some potential. Dubi doesn't get that cold streak and gets 8 more. Gaborik lives up to previous year(s) potential(s) and gets 15 more. Avery lives up to previous years and gets 8 more. Wooly lives up to previous year(s) potential(s) and plays a full season for us and gets 10 more (for us).
Total Impact: +41 Goals
Next, lets calculate new player impact. No Dru, we lose 1 goal. Get Richards he gets 25 goals. Gabby gets another 15 because of him. Lose Boogey, we lose 1 goal. Get Rupp he gets 8 goals.
Total Impact: -2 Goals +48 Goals
Final: 335 GF 198 GA (assuming Hank plays the same)
Now, these numbers are ridiculous. No one even came close to that last year, but you can see how a few little things take this team from 8th place to irst pretty damn quick.
6th if they can stay relatively healthy. Behind the Caps, Boston, Pens, Buffalo, Montreal. TB nabs 7th and Philly and Carolina fight for 8th.
@CJ cj, i love your analysis and like you, i am the enternal-optimist (some call me a sucker).
i can't wait for hockey season!!!!!
@InFlamesNYR Didn't mean to sound rude. Just emotional because Montreal does not have nearly as talented a team as the Rangers and Buffalo just got a lot better...So I think Montreal will be further down the totem pole fighting for a playoff spot. I also see Tamba Bay closer to the top then the bottom.
@InFlamesNYR WRONG! How does Montreal, in an improved Northeast Division win more games without making a significant improvement to last years team. Caps, Boston, Pens, Rangers and Tampa will fight for fifth. Buffalo seventh, Montreal and Philly fight it out for the final spot and Philly wins. Toronto and the Devils finish at the bottom with the hurricanes, jets and islanders 10th through 12th.
@InFlamesNYR I'm with 100% on those predictions.
@traderserge There is one thing that this analysis doesn't take into account, ice time. Last season was an incredible season for our auxiliary scorers, but (in the absence of first liners and with injuries) those 2nd-4th liners got a lot more ice time last season. It is reasonable to expect quite a bit less scoring from those players in the coming season because they will probably be on the ice much less. Nonetheless, I still believe that the Rangers have a real chance for a top 4 or 5 finish in the regular season with their additions, and a little luck.
@CJ Ice time is the key...
@KevinDeLury Yeah sure. I will title it Why the Rangers Were Bad Ass this Year...and then explain why they finished where they did...
@Ranger Dave So if you win you want to write a guest blog post?
I bet you a dollar and a guest blog post that the Rangers finish in the top five. If I lose the guest blog post can be about whatever you want...even how awesome Kevin DeLury is!
I wonder about the panthers this year ...they could sneak up into the top ten I think they are the biggest wild card because they are an improved team that will be fighting hard every game so some teams could lose valuable games to them...